The new world order.
Posted by Exile on June 24, 2006
I got myself into a rather heated discussion on the “Gates of Vienna” blogsite the other day. What dragged me into this discussion was a post from a blogger who is obviously upset at the brutal murder of two american soldiers in Iraq and he believes the time has maybe come for the US to turn a blind eye to the rest of the world, withdraw from world politics and recall it’s troops from just about everywhere. He is also upset at the lack of support from our press and he genuinely believes that we europeans do not have any sympathy for the americans as a whole. I disagreed and the fur started flying.
Putting that aside, I started thinking about the political implications of an american withdrawal and the military aspect of all this. War, I said, is an extension of politics. If the americans withdraw militarily from the rest of the world, then it will also be a political withdrawal, and I must therefore discount them from my ranting here.
Our view of the world is encumbent on the map we drew as we explored out from Europe. We placed ourselves in the middle and then moved out, east and west, north and south and men drew maps with that one anchor spot, Europe, as the benchmark.
We are all familiar with this map, America in the extreme west, Mongolia or wherever in the extreme east. This wiew was further strengthened after the second world war, when the continent was divided into East and West by the Berlin wall and the internal German border. Germany is now reunited, the cold war is over, East and West are now unified again. So, I thought it may be time to redraw the map. And here it is.
We now have the americas in the east, far removed from Europe, and Europe on the western edge. Having now decided that the US is in withdrawal and that as a resut of this , Nato is inevitably disbanded, where does that leave us?
Our main threat is now more obviously from the South in the form of Africa and from the South-East in the form of Persia, to give it a name we can all relate to.
We are back in the classic european quandry faced by the Greeeks and Romans. Our nearest ally is Russia. Not yet in the EU, but if america has withdrawn, we are going to hurry up and invite them. With american withdrawal from the now defunct Nato, it would be a good move for Russia to join too. It would expand their sphere of influence and would ensure them military security. They are equally as theatened from their southern regions as we are. It would also give us a guarantee of the vast natural resources available to us there, and the development that came with membership would accelerate Russia on its road back to world power status.
In the absence of the USA, Europe would be forced to combine its forces into a common European Defense Force. This would also be a good thing. France, for example, could no longer stand on the sidelines as it does today, only supporting NATO, not actually contributing. The member states would be accountable, jointly, for our defense. Countries that fight together, stick together.
This is, of course, pure conjecture. It is merely my simple appraisal under the conditions of “what if”.
But what if the USA did decide to back into itself and opt out of its role of world leader? Would either of us survive? The answer is of course yes. The americas would become more involved with each other, Europe would continue to evolve. There would at some point be war between Europe and the Arab world as oil ran out and we lost patience with the threats and constant terrorism. We would still call it North and South america, but after the war over there between Mexico and the US, and the subsequent annexation or subjugation of more of south america, Columbia, for example, then the world would continue on its way.
And who knows? Eventually there would be a new world order. Based on trade and not military expertise, on money and not human life. Both sides equally dependant on each other for their well being and for their common future.
Did I go “full circle” there?
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