Camerons Deal–No Deal
Posted by Exile on February 21, 2016
Not even close as far as I can see…
I watched the BBC news this morning eagerly waiting for some details about this renegotiation business with the EU. Frankly, it was disappointing in so many different ways. There is no real alteration to anything of substance. He went looking for a big slice of cake. All he got was a few crumbs. As for the border issue, migration, the amount of money that gets paid in, sovereignty and powers of parliament, all these things remain untouched.
And yet, there was Cameron, seriously telling us, that Britain would be better off in a reformed Europe. Maybe. But Europe hasn’t been reformed by one little bit. That would mean a treaty change. No such change has been made. So we’re talking about a few small details in the larger picture. Gilding the lilies, if you like. No real European change there.
So Britain, I feel, would be better off out of the EU. Probably one of the best analyses of the whole affair was to be found, in all places, at the Daily Mail.
HE DIDN’T ASK FOR MUCH – AND HE GOT EVEN LESS
Analysis by James Slack, Political Editor in Brussels
What he wanted: A ban on EU migrants being paid in-work benefits for their first four years in the UK.
Sticking point: In a compromise, Britain is being granted an emergency brake which allows for benefits to be restricted for up to four years if Britain’s public services or welfare system is under pressure. However, the EU insisted that the ‘limitation should be graduated, from an initial complete exclusion to gradually increasing access to such benefits’. This was still the subject of a huge row yesterday. Mr Cameron wanted the brake to be in place for up to 13 years. Eastern Europe objected strongly. Eastern European countries also want a guarantee that the brake could be used by the UK only – not nations such as Germany and Sweden, which have also experienced a huge influx of workers.
What he wanted: The 2015 Tory manifesto promised that: ‘If an EU migrant’s child is living abroad, then they should receive no child benefit, no matter how long they have worked in the UK and no matter how much tax they have paid.’
Sticking point: A watered down agreement that child benefit payments will be linked to the cost of living in the child’s homeland has been agreed. But Eastern European countries insisted the rules should not apply to people who were already in the UK. The new regime is likely to be phased in over a number of years. Again, Eastern Europe does not want any other EU country to be able to apply the new rules.
PROTECTION FROM THE EUROZONE
What he wanted: A mechanism to ensure that Britain cannot be discriminated against because it is not part of the euro, cannot pick up the bill for eurozone bailouts and cannot have imposed on it changes the eurozone want to make without our consent.
Sticking point: France spent days fiercely resisting the idea that Britain can interfere in the workings of the euro. Other EU countries were opposed to the idea that any agreement Mr Cameron secures should be enshrined in future treaties.
EVER CLOSER UNION
What he wanted: Exempt Britain from the commitment in the EU’s founding treaty to move towards ‘ever closer union’.
Sticking point: The EU said it was content to acknowledge ‘that the United Kingdom, in the light of the specific situation it has under the treaties, is not committed to further political integration into the European Union’. However, EU leaders were opposed to the idea of enshrining this in future EU treaties – which is key if Mr Cameron is not to face accusations that his deal can be unpicked.
AND THINGS HE ONCE PROMISED BUT NEVER ASKED FOR:
Charter of Fundamental Rights. In 2009, Mr Cameron promised a complete opt-out of the charter, which further extends human rights laws.
Social and employment laws. In 2010, Mr Cameron pledged to claw back powers from Brussels, but this was quietly dropped.
Working time directive. In 2012, he promised to change the law that includes the contentious 48-hour maximum working week.
Common Agricultural Policy. Repeated calls for reform of farming subsidies, but no sign of any change yet.
Waste. In 2009, he promised to end the European Parliament’s ‘absurd’ practice of meeting in Strasbourg as well as Brussels.
He didn’t get much at all. did he?
Here’s the real deal-killer…
The EU needs to ratify all these changes at some point. All Cameron has now is a promise and a nod from his European masters. Nothing signed, nothing sealed, nothing delivered. No.
And the thing that really sticks out is…
..that the EU will vote on these changes for the UK after the referendum on the 23rd of June this year.
So, (and here’s where my scepticism really kicks in,) if the UK decide to stay in and then, after the referendum is done and dusted, the EU decides to scrap the deal, or parts of it, there’s no going back.
The referendum trap is set. I hope others can see it and decide to leave the failing EU and its corrupt leadership. Staying in will mean, that nothing changes.